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2024-12-14 11:29:45

Schlegel, Governor of Swiss National Bank: If monetary policy needs to be further relaxed, interest rate reduction is still the main tool. The Swiss National Bank is still willing to intervene in the foreign exchange market when necessary.Reuters survey: In December, the Bank of England decided to keep interest rates unchanged or cut interest rates by 100 basis points next year. All 71 economists surveyed during December 6-11 predicted that the Bank of England would keep its target interest rate unchanged at 4.75% at its meeting on December 19. Among the economists who predict the interest rate outlook until the end of 2025, about 54% (36 out of 67) expect to cut interest rates by 100 basis points by the end of next year, another 17 expect to cut interest rates by at least 125 basis points, and 14 expect to cut interest rates by at most 75 basis points.Huaxin Securities: China Unicom's operating income grew steadily and maintained its "buy" rating. Huaxin Securities Research Report pointed out that since the beginning of this year, China Unicom (600050.SH) has seen steady growth in operating income, rapid improvement in profitability, steady expansion of user scale and continuous consolidation of network foundation, laying a more solid foundation for high-quality development of enterprises. Communication and digital intelligence services are driven by two wheels, injecting vitality into the company's performance. Looking forward to the whole year, the company will adhere to the general tone of steady progress, promote the network to be new, technology to be new and service to be new, strive to achieve the performance goal of steady growth of operating income and double-digit growth of profits throughout the year, take greater steps in high-quality development, and accelerate the construction of a world-class science and technology service enterprise with global competitiveness. With the gradual expansion of user scale and the drive of digital transformation, the company will benefit from the continuous improvement of revenue and profit and maintain the "buy" investment rating.


Zhongyuan Expressway: The toll revenue in November was 373 million yuan. Zhongyuan Expressway announced that the toll revenue in November 2024 was 373 million yuan.Jingzhou, Hubei Province reported that a large drone fell: the drone crashed into a structure out of control during the test and caught fire, and one person was injured. On December 12, the emergency service center of Jingzhou Economic Development Zone, Hubei Province issued a briefing. At 11: 10 on the 12 th, a company was testing a fixed-wing drone, and the drone crashed into the structure and caught fire. At present, the fire has been put out, and one injured person is being fully treated. The cause of the accident is under investigation.The RMB exchange rate is expected to appreciate again at the end of the year. The research team of the Financial Market Department of Agricultural Bank of China said that the market transactions have shown obvious narrative-driven characteristics in recent years. Considering some recent changes, the RMB exchange rate is expected to stabilize and rebound again in the future. First, the pricing of Trump transactions in the international market has come to an end. Second, there has been a major shift in domestic macro policies. Since late September, financial policies such as lowering the RRR, cutting interest rates, supporting the stock market and the real estate market, and fiscal debt measures have boosted market confidence. Third, there has been a favorable change in supply and demand in the domestic foreign exchange market. The end of the year is the traditional peak season for enterprises to settle foreign exchange, and the continuous forward discount will lead to the backlog of foreign exchange settlement, which will further amplify the demand for foreign exchange settlement at the end of the year. Further considering the overall situation of the game between China and the United States, Trump's return not only means the enhancement of external shocks, but also the upgrading of internal policies. The RMB exchange rate will maintain two-way fluctuations next year, and it is no longer a steady profit for enterprises to hold US dollars and postpone foreign exchange settlement. While stabilizing domestic foreign trade and foreign investment, continuing to expand high-level opening-up and expanding domestic demand in an all-round way implies the certainty of economic stabilization and recovery, which is expected to promote the return of short-term securities investment and medium-and long-term direct investment and help the RMB stop falling and rebound.


Liu Shijin: To expand consumption, we should manage from the source, and give priority to improving basic public services and consumption of low-and middle-income groups. Liu Shijin, deputy director of the 13th Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference Economic Commission and former deputy director of the the State Council Development Research Center, pointed out in his speech at the main forum of the 2024 Southern Finance and Economics International Forum that the macro-economy is picking up, but it is also facing the increasing pressure of insufficient total demand, especially insufficient consumer demand, and the focus of which is insufficient service consumption. We should give priority to improving basic public services and the consumption environment of low-and middle-income groups through "source governance" to promote the integrated development of urban and rural areas. On the basis of short-term stimulus policies, combined with medium-and long-term reforms, we will solve the institutional problems that restrict the expansion of consumption and help China's economy achieve high-quality development. "At present, it is necessary to distinguish the problems caused by insufficient demand from the causes of insufficient demand." Liu Shijin pointed out that from the perspective of international comparison, the lack of consumption demand in China at this stage is a structural deviation. In Liu Shijin's view, it is necessary to identify the key points or pain points in expanding consumer demand at this stage. First, service consumption based on basic public services, including education, medical and health care, affordable housing, social security, culture, sports and entertainment, financial services, transportation and communication; Second, the middle and low-income class with migrant workers as the focus; Third, people-centered, urbanization and urban-rural integration. (21 Finance)Lingang Daya Auto Parts Intelligent Manufacturing Base Project officially started. On the morning of December 12th, the groundbreaking ceremony of Lingang Daya Auto Parts Intelligent Manufacturing Base Project was held in Shanghai Lingang Fengxian Park. After the completion of the project, two 3500T/2500T high-speed multi-position stamping lines are designed, with an annual production capacity of 11 million pieces; Design 210 connection workstations such as spot welding/arc welding/projection welding/riveting, with an annual production capacity of 4 million sets of sheet metal parts; Design an intelligent logistics and three-dimensional warehouse.Russia is willing to engage with the United States on the Ukrainian issue. Russian Foreign Ministry spokesman Zacharova said at a regular press conference on the 11th that Russia is willing to engage with the United States on the Ukrainian issue, but has not received any "serious suggestions" from the team of President-elect Trump.

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